Seattle Technical Advisors

Blog
 

One-Month Free Look!

 

Contact us for a one-month free-look at the website.  We'll send you a password and you'll have 30 days to decide whether or not to subscribe.

To post a comment at the blog click on a headline.

TA: Equities - Nic Lenoir of ICAP

Today I just want to focus on one thing and one thing only, making sure I pin the top on the S&P 500 rally started in late August as I strongly believe the next wave will take us sub 1,000 in the S&P future.



First of all our VIX reversal warning is still in effect, we still recommend to be long VIX November and December calls. I personally favor 35 and 37.5 strikes. At a cost of 1 for the November 37.5s, should we indeed go dip below 1,000 you stand to multiply your investment somewhere between 5 and 10 times.



That said, I turn to the fractal structure of the move in S&P and Eurostoxx. Both are completing an A-B-C flat correction from the lows in early July. Standard targets both indicate that we could possibly go a touch higher with a 1,160 being the C=A in S&P and 2,873 in Eurostoxx. However the price action in both is bearish here. In S&P as long as we remain below 1,138 I expect to go fill the gap at 1,105 before testing the key resistance which will be around 1,075. We have a H&S short term with neckline at 1,117 and we broke and retested as resistance the support of the latest move from 1,082 to 1,142.

 

Add a Comment

(Enter the numbers shown in the above image)